State of the Mets Rotation

JohanHappy Johan Santana Day! (a.k.a. The Great Santana) What, don’t you say that every time Mets Ace Johan Santana is scheduled to take the mound? Before he does, let’s take a look at the state of the Mets rotation.

This time through the rotation the Mets will be showcasing Johan Santana, Mike Pelfrey, Tim Redding, John Maine and Livan Hernandez.

Let’s see how they’ve done this year and what we might expect from them this week:

Johan Santana (5-2):

Santana won the NL Pitcher of the Month Award in April and is well on his way to another Cy Young caliber season. In his last start, Santana allowed six runs, four earned on 11 hits against the San Francisco Giants but still managed to get a Win thanks to some great hitting by the Mets.

As fangraphs.com points out here,

Santana is primed for a huge season. In 39.2 innings this season, Santana has punched out a jaw-dropping 54 batters (12.25 K/9), which is the highest rate of his career. His FIP sits at a microscopic 2.03, and he has compiled 1.7 WAR already.

In his last start against the Red Sox, Santana allowed one run on 7 hits in 5 innings.

Mike Pelfrey (4-1):

Mike PelfreyPelfrey had a case of the Yips last week. He allowed 2 runs on 6 hits against the San Francisco Giants but suffered his first loss of the season as the Mets were unable to score on Matt Cain and the Giants bullpen.

Pelfrey is sporting a 1.54 WHIP, .286 BABIP, and a 5.23 FIP. Most striking is his 0.65 K/BB ratio, the worst in his career. However, his GB/FB ratio stands at 1.80, the best of his career.

Tim ReddingTim Redding (0-0):

Redding allowed two runs on 2 hits while walking four and striking out four in six innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Nonetheless, the Mets made 5 errors and left 11 on base, and in the 11th, had probably one of the worse innings in baseball this year (Glad I went to bed after the 10th).

I won’t bore you with any stats, since one game is not enough to go off of.

John MaineJohn Maine (3-3):

Maine allowed five runs (four earned) on eight hits while walking three and striking out three in 5 1/3 innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Maine flirted with disaster the whole night but hung a slider to Casey Blake for a three run home run.

Maine is sporting a 1.42 WHIP, .260 BABIP and a 4.83 FIP. His career best GB/FB ration is 0.80 (2006) but stands at 0.91 this year. Also, Maine’s LD ratio is at 22.5%, the highest of his career.

Livan HernandezLivan Hernandez (3-1):

Livan allowed one run on seven hits while walking one and striking out two in seven innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Livan was wonderful, but the offense failed him as they left nine on base and couldn’t capitalize when they needed to.

Livan is sporting a 1.47 WHIP, .316 BABIP and a 4.65 FIP.

In his last start against the Washington Nationals last year, Livan allowed six runs giving up 10 hits in six innings.

The Mets need the rotation to continue to give the team quality starts, especially with the bats slumping. If the Mets are able to take 2 of 3 from the Boston Red Sox, they’ll come back with a 23-20 record and would’ve gone 6-5 on the west to east trip. Let’s Go Mets!

P.S. I’d love some feedback, especially about what’s missing from this post. Thanks.

23 thoughts on “State of the Mets Rotation”

  1. WOW case…that is a great post(starting to make the rest of us look bad lol). Very good job buddy

    1. lol i would say you out did yourself but i believe this is your first post lol..set the bar pretty high for yourself there bud lol

  2. Excellent post Case! The site looks GREAT, and coming here and seeing Johan AND Don Corleone on the home page, well, it does not get much better than that!

  3. Here’s some feedback for ya: Thanks for setting the bar impossibly high for me!

    If there IS anything missing, I couldn’t notice among all the pertinent facts. I certainly didn’t read through it and think “why didn’t he include…?”

    Bravo! Please accept this laurel and hearty handshake.

        1. I would TRS, and I really appreciate the offer…please just let me know what I need to do, and I will sincerely be sure to do my best to uphold the already VERY high standard you guys are all setting.

          Seriously, this site looks great!

          And, your bio is real interesting. I was a junior at the U of Vermont watching that incredible Met-Astro game. The earliest games I remember watching are the 73 NLCS against the Reds as a 7 year old in North Jersey.

          1. Thanks, I will set you up as an author and then you can feel free to play around with as much as you want. I have found things work MUCH better with Firefox.

            1. Thanks TRS…I use both Firefox and Explorer on different computers at work and home and will see how things go.

              Again, thank you SO much for doing this.

  4. wow. Everything you wanted to know all in one post. One stop shopping. Great job.
    And how ironic is it in the 5 starters last starts, Livan went longer and gave up less runs than the other 4.

      1. LOL. They’re saying it’s a late change. Something about Beltran’s knee bothering him? OMG – just shoot me now. Man, they’re dropping like flies. This is actually worse than last year.

        Only positive I’m gonna look at here is these injuries are happening early. Hopefully, most come back healthy and since it’s early enough Omar gets whatever we’re gonna need…

  5. Its amazing how fast things can change in a season. We were all talking about how much our rotation sucked, and then one Ollie left everyone started throwing gems. I think last time I checked we had 2nd best ERA in Nl and 3rd in Major league. Now it is one of our stronger points and the injuries are killing us.

    Lets hope they can continue and the offense steps it up.

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